Abstract

BackgroundWith the greatest burden of infant undernutrition and morbidity in low and middle income countries (LMICs), there is a need for suitable approaches to monitor infants in a simple, low-cost and effective manner. Anthropometry continues to play a major role in characterising growth and nutritional status.MethodsWe developed a range of models to aid in identifying neonates at risk of malnutrition. We first adopted a logistic regression approach to screen for a composite neonatal morbidity, low and high body fat (BF%) infants. We then developed linear regression models for the estimation of neonatal fat mass as an assessment of body composition and nutritional status.ResultsWe fitted logistic regression models combining up to four anthropometric variables to predict composite morbidity and low and high BF% neonates. The greatest area under receiver-operator characteristic curves (AUC with 95% confidence intervals (CI)) for identifying composite morbidity was 0.740 (0.63, 0.85), resulting from the combination of birthweight, length, chest and mid-thigh circumferences. The AUCs (95% CI) for identifying low and high BF% were 0.827 (0.78, 0.88) and 0.834 (0.79, 0.88), respectively.For identifying composite morbidity, BF% as measured via air displacement plethysmography showed strong predictive ability (AUC 0.786 (0.70, 0.88)), while birthweight percentiles had a lower AUC (0.695 (0.57, 0.82)). Birthweight percentiles could also identify low and high BF% neonates with AUCs of 0.792 (0.74, 0.85) and 0.834 (0.79, 0.88). We applied a sex-specific approach to anthropometric estimation of neonatal fat mass, demonstrating the influence of the testing sample size on the final model performance.ConclusionsThese models display potential for further development and evaluation in LMICs to detect infants in need of further nutritional management, especially where traditional methods of risk management such as birthweight for gestational age percentiles may be variable or non-existent, or unable to detect appropriately grown, low fat newborns.

Highlights

  • Neonatal body composition assessment plays an important role in characterising the nutritional and dietary status of newborn infants

  • Birthweight percentiles could identify low and high BF% neonates with area under the ROC curves (AUC) of 0.792 (0.74, 0.85) and 0.834 (0.79, 0.88)

  • Current validated methods for measuring body composition such as air displacement plethysmography (ADP), dual x-ray absorptiometry and hydrometric methods are often impractical in low and middle income countries (LMICs), given stipulations of portability, cost and operational expertise

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Summary

Introduction

Neonatal body composition assessment plays an important role in characterising the nutritional and dietary status of newborn infants. A 2010 report from the World Health Organization (WHO) attributed undernutrition as a contributing factor in one third of child deaths under five years of age [3] The majority of these deaths occur within the first few days of life and in low and middle income countries (LMICs) [4]. Current validated methods for measuring body composition such as air displacement plethysmography (ADP), dual x-ray absorptiometry and hydrometric methods are often impractical in LMICs, given stipulations of portability, cost and operational expertise Anthropometric measures such as mid-upper arm circumferences (MUAC), birthweight for gestational age percentiles ( birthweight percentiles) and weight-for-length Z scores are commonly used in place of these more complex techniques to gauge undernutrition [5]. Anthropometry continues to play a major role in characterising growth and nutritional status

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