An Analysis on the Carbon Emission Contributors in the Chinese Construction Industry

The production of construction projects is carbon-intensive and interrelated to multiple other industries that provide related materials and services. Thus, the calculations of carbon emissions are relatively complex, and the consideration of other factors becomes necessary, especially in China, which has a massive land area and regions with greatly uneven development. To improve the accuracy of the calculations and illustrate the impacts of the various factors at the provincial level in the construction industry, this study separated carbon emissions into two categories, the direct category and the indirect category. The features of carbon emissions in this industry across 30 provinces in China were analysed, and the logarithmic mean Divisia index (LMDI) model was employed to decompose the major factors, including direct energy proportion, unit value energy consumption, value creation effect, indirect carbon intensity, and scale effect of output. It was concluded that carbon emissions increased, whereas carbon intensity decreased dramatically, and indirect emissions accounted for 90% to 95% of the total emissions from the majority of the provinces between 2005 and 2014. The carbon intensities were high in the underdeveloped western and central regions, especially in Shanxi, Inner-Mongolia and Qinghai, whereas they were low in the well-developed eastern and southern regions, represented by Beijing, Shanghai, Zhejiang and Guangdong. The value creation effect and indirect carbon intensity had significant negative effects on carbon emissions, whereas the scale effect of output was the primary factor creating emissions. The factors of direct energy proportion and unit value energy consumption had relatively limited, albeit varying, effects. Accordingly, this study reveals that the evolving trends of these factors vary in different provinces; therefore, overall, our research results and insights support government policy and decision maker’s decisions to minimize the carbon emissions in the construction industry.

Based on the whole life cycle perspective, the carbon emissions of the provincial construction industry in China from 2011 to 2019 were calculated from the production, construction, operation, and demolition stages of building materials. A spatial correlation network matrix of the carbon emissions in the construction industry was constructed by using the modified gravity model, and the structural characteristics of the correlation network were described by introducing social network analysis. Through the quadratic assignment program, the spatial correlation matrix of carbon emissions in the construction industry and its influencing factors were regressed and analyzed. The conclusions were as follows:① the spatial correlation network of carbon emissions in China's construction industry clearly existed. The network density and network correlation numbers were gradually rising, and the network tightness and stability were gradually improving. ② Shanghai, Tianjin, Beijing, and Jiangsu had a higher degree centrality and closeness centrality, which are the core and dominant positions of the spatial correlation network of carbon emissions in the construction industry. Zhejiang replaced Shanghai in the top four from 2013 to 2018, and the betweenness centrality of each province had unbalanced characteristics. ③ Beijing, Tianjin, Jiangsu, Inner Mongolia, Shanghai, and Shandong were "net beneficiaries" blocks, receiving the carbon emissions from other regions. Four provinces, Guangdong, Chongqing, Fujian, and Shandong, belonged to the "broker" sector, achieving a dynamic balance between the production and consumption sides of building carbon emissions. The remaining 20 provinces played a "net spillovers" role, actively sending carbon emissions from the construction industry to other provinces. The correlation between blocks was much greater than the correlation relationship within the blocks. ④ Industrial structure, urban population, spatial adjacency, consumption level, and construction industry process structure had a significant influence on the spatial correlation of carbon emissions in the construction industry. The greater the inter-provincial differences in industrial structure, urban population, spatial adjacency, and consumption level, the greater the similarity of inter-provincial construction industry process structure, and the stronger the spatial correlation and spatial spillover of the construction industry carbon emissions. Finally, according to the evolution characteristics and influencing factors of the spatial correlation network of building carbon emissions, relevant countermeasures and suggestions were provided for the collaborative carbon reduction development of the construction industry region.

In order to clarify the current situation of research on carbon emissions of China's construction industry and point out the research direction for the related research of carbon emissions in China and similar economies in the world, this study uses the systematic literature review method to screen the articles related to carbon emissions of China's construction industry from 2014 to 2021, and 134 papers were kept. These articles were analyzed from three aspects: carbon emission stages, research scope and research method. This study finds that: 1) in terms carbon emission stages, the amounts of articles on the whole life cycle of Chinese construction industry is the largest, accounting for 47.01%; The second is the articles on the materialization stage, accounting for 17.91%. 2) In terms of research scope, the research on individual projects and the research from the industry level accounted for 61.94% and 38.06% of the total amount of articles respectively. Among the articles on individual projects, the articles on buildings were the most, accounting for 67.47% of such articles. Among the articles on the industry level, the articles on carbon emissions of national construction industry were the most, accounting for 60.78% of such articles. 3) In terms of research method, the quantitative method used in micro-level research is mainly the carbon emission coefficient method, and the analysis method is mainly the life cycle assessment method; the quantitative method used in macro-level research is mainly the input-output method, and the analysis method is mainly decomposition analysis methods.

Analysis of the non-equilibrium and evolutionary driving forces of carbon emissions in China's construction industry

With the rapid development of the global economy, the amount of China’s carbon emission has been increasing consistently in a high speed, causing huge environment problems. The construction industry, as the leading pillar of the national economic and social development, accounts for a large proportion of the total carbon emissions in China. Several calculation methods have been used to calculate carbon emissions. However, the main influencing factors need to be found to reduce carbon emissions. In this paper, the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) technique is used to decompose the energy-induced carbon emissions of the construction industry into four factors: construction areas, construction investment efficiency (output value per unit), energy intensity, and carbon intensity. Based on IPCC carbon emission factors and data from Chinese Energy Statistical Yearbooks and Chinese Construction Industry Statistical Yearbooks, the factors of energy-induced carbon emissions in China were decomposed with LMDI method and Kaya equation. Proper countermeasures are proposed to reduce the energy-induced carbon emissions of the construction industry in China.

Driving factors of the changes in the carbon emissions in the Chinese construction industry

Feasibility assessment of the carbon emissions peak in China's construction industry: Factor decomposition and peak forecast

Carbon emission accounting and carbon peak prediction are the prerequisites for carbon reduction in the current construction industry in China, constituting an important basis for fulfilling the responsibility of carbon reduction. To accurately depict the evolutionary trend of carbon emissions in the construction industry, the carbon emissions of the Chinese construction industry were calculated in stages, based on a full life cycle perspective. The Pearson test was used to select the factors influencing carbon emissions in the construction industry, and an extended STIRPAT model was established. The logarithmic mean Divisia index （LMDI） method was used to analyze the factors in the extended model and calculate the contribution rate of each factor influencing carbon emission. Finally, a multivariate nonlinear regression prediction model based on ASO-BP was constructed to explore the evolution of carbon emissions in the construction industry under multiple scenarios, and policy suggestions were proposed for material production, building operation, and construction. The research results showed： ① Under a small sample environment, the atom search algorithm was superior to other traditional intelligent algorithms in terms of prediction accuracy and time. ② Under multiple scenarios, the Chinese construction industry will achieve carbon peaking in 2030； however, under the current population growth scenario, the construction industry will not reach its peak until 2031, lagging behind in the carbon peaking target. ③ Population changes will lead to the postponement of carbon peaking in three stages, particularly having a considerable impact on the operational stage.

Carbon emission reduction in the construction industry is vital for realizing sustainable development, and the development of the digital economy plays an important role in this process. The impact of the digital economy on reducing carbon emissions in the construction industry is empirically explored through econometric analyses on a sample of panel data from 30 provinces in China from 2012 to 2021. The empirical results show that developing a digital economy can significantly reduce the construction industry's carbon emission intensity. Additionally, this impact has a significant spatial spillover effect and can benefit the neighboring regions. The mechanism test shows that the digital economy can reduce carbon emissions by improving the technological level of the construction industry. Moreover, the inhibiting effects of the digital economy on carbon emissions in the construction industry vary across different regions. They are more pronounced in the eastern and western regions of low coal-consuming regions. These findings offer valuable insights for policymakers to help drive the deeper integration of the digital economy with the construction industry and facilitate its transition to low-carbon development.

Global warming caused by carbon emissions has become a major issue that countries need to address. As the largest carbon emitter globally, the construction industry is one of the major contributors to carbon emissions in China. It is of significance for carbon reduction to study carbon emission from construction industry. Based on various methods, this study explored the spatio-temporal characteristics of carbon emissions and the driving factors of construction industry. This study found, in 2007, 2010, and 2012, carbon emissions from the construction industry exhibited an increasing trend, and the indirect carbon emissions accounted for approximately 77% of the total carbon emissions overall; in addition, the regional gaps in carbon emissions are widening. The space centers of gravity of direct, indirect, and total carbon emissions showed similar rotations in the counterclockwise direction and gradually shifted to the northeast direction. Carbon emissions from the construction industry were predominantly influenced by the total population, number of employees in construction industry, labor productivity in construction industry, added value of the construction industry, energy consumption in construction industry in 2007, evolution to the mutual influence of the total population, labor productivity in construction industry, and energy consumption in construction industry in 2012. The finds can make references for the regional sustainable development.

Digital economy's role in shaping carbon emissions in the construction field: Insights from Chinese cities

China's energy chemical industry accounts for about 12.01% of the national carbon emissions, while the heterogeneous carbon emission characteristics exhibited by the subsectors have not been reliably investigated. Based on the energy consumption data of the energy chemical industry subsectors in 30 Chinese provinces from 2006 to 2019, this study systematically identified the carbon emission contributions of high-emission subsectors, examined the evolutionary changes and correlation characteristics of carbon emissions from different perspectives, and further explored the carbon emission drivers. According to the survey, coal mining and washing (CMW) and petroleum processing, coking, and nuclear fuel processing (PCN) were high-emission sectors of the energy chemical industry, with annual emissions of more than 150 million tons, accounting for about 72.98% of the energy chemical industry. In addition, the number of high-emission areas in China's energy chemical industries has gradually increased, and the spatial disequilibrium of carbon emissions in industrial sectors has gradually deepened. The development of upstream industries had a strong correlation with carbon emissions, and the upstream industry sector still has not achieved carbon decoupling. The decomposition of the driving effects of carbon emissions showed that the economic output effect is the largest contributor to the growth of carbon emissions in the energy chemical industry, while energy restructuring and energy intensity reduction help reduce carbon emissions, but there is heterogeneity in the driving effects of subsectors.

Transportation is an important part of social and economic development and is also a typical high-energy and high-emissions industry. Achieving low-carbon development in the transportation industry is a much-needed requirement and the only way to achieve high-quality development. Therefore, based on the relevant data of 30 provinces in China from 2010 to 2018, this research uses the static panel model, panel threshold model and spatial Durbin model to conduct an empirical study on the impact and mechanism of digital innovation on carbon emissions in the transportation industry, and draws the following conclusions. (1) Carbon emissions in the transportation industry have dynamic and continuous adjustment characteristics. (2) There is a significant inverted U-shape non-linear relationship between the level of digital innovation and carbon emissions in the industry. In regions with a low level of digital innovation, the application of digital technology increases carbon emissions in this industry, but as the level of digital innovation continues to increase its application suppresses carbon emissions, showing an effect of carbon emission reduction. (3) The impact of digital innovation on carbon emissions in the transportation industry has a spatial spillover effect, and its level in one province significantly impacts carbon emissions in other provinces’ transportation industry through the spatial spillover effect. Therefore, it is recommended to further strengthen the exchange and cooperation of digital innovation in the transportation industry between regions, improve the scale of digitalization in this industry, and accelerate its green transformation through digital innovation, thus promoting the green, low-carbon, and sustainable development of China’s economy.

The construction industry has become one of the industries that accounts for a relatively large share of China’s total carbon emissions. Aiming at the problems of monitoring difficulties, diversity of segmentation types, and uncertainty of carbon emission factors, this study calculates the carbon emissions and intensity of the construction industry in each province of China from 2010 to 2019, analyzes its spatial and temporal variability using the Moran index and the slope index, analyzes the driving factors by combining the Kaya equation and the LMDI method, and verifies the zero-error characteristics by using the IPAT model. The results show that from 2010 to 2019, carbon emissions from the construction industry in China’s provincial areas increased in general, with a distribution of “high in the east and low in the west”, and the carbon emission intensity declined in general, but some provinces in the north and the center are still higher. Economic development and the increase in housing construction area are the main reasons for the growth of carbon emissions, while the optimization of energy structure and the adjustment of population density reduce carbon emissions. Moreover, the IPAT model verifies the credibility of the results of the LMDI model. This study provides a reference for monitoring and assessing carbon emissions in China’s construction industry from the perspective of spatio-temporal characterization, helps regional energy conservation and emission reduction and dual-carbon strategy, and it analyzes the provincial carbon emission intensity to reveal the low-carbon development issues.

This study focuses on the core economic zone of East China, utilizing the decoupling model to investigate the relationship between carbon emissions and economic development in the construction industry. Furthermore, it analyzes the driving factors through the application of the logarithmic mean index method. The findings reveal that, firstly, Zhejiang and Jiangsu provinces exhibit higher total carbon emissions in the construction industry. Except for Fujian Province, the other regions exhibit a downward trend after 2019. Secondly, there is considerable spatial variability in carbon emissions in the construction industry within the core economic zone of East China, and it gradually decreases over the study period. While economically developed regions like Zhejiang and Jiangsu provinces tend to concentrate and consume more resources and energy, their impact on surrounding neighboring provinces or cities is relatively limited. Thirdly, carbon emissions from the construction industry in the core economic zone of East China show a development trend shifting from weak decoupling to strong decoupling, indicating a healthy growth in the construction industry. Specifically, different regions show different trends. Lastly, regarding influencing factors, the impact direction of carbon intensity on total carbon emissions shows instability. Energy intensity consistently exhibits inhibitory effects, and the economy and the population scale act as driving forces.