Abstract
In this paper, we discuss and relate characterisations of different forms of ‘jumping to conclusions’: Kraus, Lehmann & Magidor's analysis of plausible reasoning, the present author's characterisation of inductive reasoning, Zadrozny's account of abductive reasoning, and Gardenfors' theory of belief revision. Our main claims are that (i) inductive reasoning can be characterised in a way similar to plausible reasoning; (ii) inductive and abductive reasoning are special cases of explanatory reasoning; and (iii) there are strong relations between belief revision and explanatory reasoning. The ultimate goal of this research is a general account of jumping to conclusions.
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