An Analysis of the Reliability of a New Dataset of Transmission Line Icing Thickness in Southern China

Abstract

AbstractBased on ERA-Interim data, gauge observations, transmission line icing observational data, and hindcasted predictors from a numerical forecast system of transmission line icing, a new transmission line icing thickness (TLIT) dataset was constructed to solve the problem of limited historical data. The reliability of the dataset was analyzed using case studies and climate data. The results showed that the descriptions of three icing events in southern China by the TLIT were consistent with the actual observational data, and the icing thickness differences were less than 2 mm. The spatial distribution of annual icing days and icing thickness calculated using meteorological observation station icing data (OIT) and the TLIT data had a similar pattern, with small differences in the numerical values. A rotated empirical orthogonal function (REOF) decomposition was conducted for 67 transmission line icing events. It was found that the spatial distributions of the first three characteristic vectors of the TLIT and OIT data were similar, and the correlation coefficients for the time coefficients of the first three characteristic vectors were 0.801, −0.443, and 0.576, respectively. Three key areas were identified based on the first three patterns of REOF, and the average icing thickness of 67 events in southern China and the three key areas was calculated. The correlation coefficients of icing thickness calculated by the TLIT and OIT data for these areas were 0.648, 0.384, 0.565, and 0.599, respectively. The results illustrate that the TLIT data can reflect the temporal and spatial variations of ice thickness in southern China.