Abstract

This paper adopts the maximum carrying population, industrial added value and agricultural irrigation area to develop a multi-objective model of water resources carrying capacity (WRCC) in Dianchi-Pudu river basin. The model is used to calculate the WRCC for Dianchi-Pudu river basin in 2020 and 2030 respectively in terms of three different water supply schemes. Results show that except Scheme III which can basically support future socio-economic development and population increase, both Scheme I and II cannot support future socio-economic development and population increase of Dianchi-Pudu river basin. Interbasin water transfer would greatly increase the WRCC of Dianchi-Pudu river basin while efficient water saving can merely work in a limited extent. Consequently, interbasin water transfer and efficient water-saving are the necessaries to guarantee the positive balance between the exploitation of water resource and socio-economic development of Dianchi-Pudu river basin.

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