Abstract

Ecosystems in sub-Saharan Africa are highly vulnerable to external perturbations. An in-depth understanding of the socio-ecological mechanisms is important for the effective management of vulnerable ecosystems. Using remotely sensed satellite imagery and social data from 335 households, the study examines how different ecological and socio-economic factors influence ecosystem vulnerability in Morogoro region, Tanzania. Remotely sensed data indicated negative patterns of change in ecosystem health both at the spatial and temporal scales. Multiple logistic regression analysis showed habitat fragmentation and forest burning as key threats (p=0.02). From a social point of view, low income level (54.6%) and limited knowledge of environmental conservation (18.5%) were considered major catalysts of ecosystem vulnerability. Statistical results showed livelihood diversification (45.1%), effective institutional frameworks (30.7%), and afforestation programmes (24.2%) to be key intervention measures. The methodology and policy implications of the study have a wider applicability in the long-term management of vulnerable landscapes.

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