An agent-based study on the airborne transmission risk of infectious disease in a fever clinic during COVID-19 pandemic

Abstract

Prevention of nosocomial infections is particularly important for the control of COVID-19 pandemic. We conducted a field study and performed extensive numerical simulations of infection transmission in a fever clinic during pandemic through an agent-based model with pedestrian dynamic and an infection transmission model. Furthermore, we evaluated the cross-infection risk of the patients influenced by the patient inject flow, medical service capability and plane layout. The service capability of fever clinic is determined by the least efficient medical session. When patient inject flow exceeded the service capability, the average dwell time, contact time, exposure dose, and risk of infection of patients all increased dramatically. With the patient inject flow exceeding the service capability, the growth rate of the contact time between patients and the cross-infection risk increased by 11.5-fold and 29.5-fold, respectively. The plane layout of the fever clinic affected the exposure dose and risk of infection. The waiting areas in the fever clinic had the highest risk, where the cumulative exposure dose of virus occupied up to 66.5% of the total. Our research will help to evaluate the biosafety of hospital buildings used for the diagnosis and treatment of infectious diseases.