Abstract
Ammonia is metabolized into urea in the liver. In acute liver failure (ALF), ammonia has been associated with survival. However, urea variation has been poorly studied. Observational cohort including ALF patients from Curry Cabral Hospital (Lisbon, Portugal) and Clinic Hospital (Barcelona, Spain) between 10/2010 and 01/2023. The United States ALF Study Group cohort was used for external validation. Primary exposures were serum ammonia and urea on ICU admission. Primary endpoint was 30-day transplant-free survival (TFS). Secondary endpoint was explanted liver weight. Among 191 ALF patients, median (IQR) age was 46 (32; 57) years and 85 (44.5%) were males. Overall, 86 (45.0%) patients were transplanted and 75 (39.3%) died. Among all ALF patients, following adjustment for age, sex, body weight, and aetiology, higher ammonia or lower urea was independently associated with higher INR on ICU admission (p < .009). Among all ALF patients, following adjustment for sex, aetiology, and lactate, higher ammonia was independently associated with lower TFS (adjusted odds ratio (95% confidence interval [CI]) = 0.991 (0.985; 0.997); p = .004). This model predicted TFS with good discrimination (area under receiver operating curve [95% CI] = 0.78 [0.75; 0.82]) and reasonable calibration (R2 of 0.43 and Brier score of 0.20) after external validation. Among transplanted patients, following adjustment for age, sex, actual body weight, and aetiology, higher ammonia (p = .024) or lower (p < .001) urea was independently associated with lower explanted liver weight. Among ALF patients, serum ammonia and urea were associated with ALF severity. A score incorporating serum ammonia predicted TFS reasonably well.
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