Abstract

In patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related advanced cirrhosis, the effects of sustained virological response (SVR) by direct antiviral agents (DAAs) on decompensation and liver deaths are less clearcut, since up to 30% of patients do not improve, and no predictors of outcome have been identified. We used 13 C-aminopyrine breath test (ABT) to assess whether its changes can predict liver-related outcomes after DAA treatment in patients with HCV cirrhosis. Fifty consecutive patients with HCV cirrhosis were enrolled. Patients were included if they had Child A cirrhosis at risk for decompensation - defined as Child A6 (N=22, 44%) or previous decompensation (N=7, 14%) - or Child B cirrhosis (N=21, 42%) eligible for DAA-based antiviral therapy. ABT was performed at baseline and 12weeks after the end of antiviral therapy. Patients received sofosbuvir-based regimens. Aminopyrine breath test was available for all 50 patients at baseline. The 120' cumulative dose was directly associated at regression analysis only with albumin levels (P=.001). ABT was available at follow-up week 12 for 41 patients (FUW12), all with SVR, and followed for a median of 25.2months (range 12.2-32.1months). Lower Ʌ ABT - defined as changes of 120' cumulative dose from FUW12 to baseline - (HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.94-0.99; P=.02) and FUW12 hepatic encephalopathy (HR 19.0, 95% CI 1.16-310.3; P=.03) were the only independent predictors of liver events/death at multivariate Cox regression analysis. The AUC of Ʌ ABT was good (0.87, 95% CI 0.75-0.97), with a delta ≥0% well discriminating patients at lower vs patients at higher risk of liver-related events/death (P<.001). In patients with advanced HCV cirrhosis who achieve SVR with DAA, Ʌ ABT assists in assessing the residual likelihood of liver-related events and deaths after viral cure.

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