Abstract

Little evidence is available on the strength of the association between ambient air pollution exposure and health effects in developing countries such as South Africa. The association between the 24-h average ambient PM10, SO2 and NO2 levels and daily respiratory (RD), cardiovascular (CVD) and cerebrovascular (CBD) mortality in Cape Town (2001–2006) was investigated with a case-crossover design. For models that included entire year data, an inter-quartile range (IQR) increase in PM10 (12 mg/m3) and NO2 (12 mg/m3) significantly increased CBD mortality by 4% and 8%, respectively. A significant increase of 3% in CVD mortality was observed per IQR increase in NO2 and SO2 (8 mg/m3). In the warm period, PM10 was significantly associated with RD and CVD mortality. NO2 had significant associations with CBD, RD and CVD mortality, whilst SO2 was associated with CVD mortality. None of the pollutants were associated with any of the three outcomes in the cold period. Susceptible groups depended on the cause-specific mortality and air pollutant. There is significant RD, CVD and CBD mortality risk associated with ambient air pollution exposure in South Africa, higher than reported in developed countries.

Highlights

  • Chronic obstructive airways disease (COPD), cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cerebrovascular disease (CBD) incidence is increasing in South Africa, as in many developing countries [1]

  • The short-term effects of particles with a 50% cut-off at an aerodynamic diameter of 2.5 μm or less (PM2.5), PM10, carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), ozone (O3), sulfur dioxide (SO2) on respiratory disease (RD), CVD and CBD mortality and morbidity were summarized in a meta-analysis [2]

  • For the >60 year group, the majority of RD deaths were due to pneumonia (36%), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (32%), other diseases of the respiratory (10%), asthma (8%) and emphysema (7%)

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Summary

Introduction

Chronic obstructive airways disease (COPD), cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cerebrovascular disease (CBD) incidence is increasing in South Africa, as in many developing countries [1]. The short-term effects of particles with a 50% cut-off at an aerodynamic diameter of 2.5 μm or less (PM2.5), PM10, carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), ozone (O3), sulfur dioxide (SO2) on respiratory disease (RD), CVD and CBD mortality and morbidity were summarized in a meta-analysis [2]. The majority of the case-crossover or time series epidemiological studies included in the meta-analysis were conducted in North America and Western Europe, with more from Asia and South America since 2004. There remains a need for similar studies and long-term cohort studies in cities of developing countries, as levels and composition of air pollution are different from North America and Western. Differences in the vulnerability of the population, building characteristics, time-activity patterns and proximity to air pollution sources may modify the effects of exposure. A better understanding is needed of how air pollution from indoor sources contributes to levels of outdoor air pollution and how indoor exposure to air pollution from indoor sources influences risk estimates for outdoor air pollution

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