Abstract

The application of wind power prediction system (WPPS) contributes to security economic dispatching of power grid and stable operation of wind farm. This paper established short-term prediction model based on BP neural network and ultrashort-term prediction model based on improved time-series algorithm according to Xichang Wind Farm Phase I Project. A new probability model using two consecutive power points before prediction time was built to improve the traditional time-series algorithm. The system framework was designed. C# Language and SQL Server 2008 were taken to develop the system on the Microsoft .net platform. The WPPS uses distributed architecture, realizing seamless connection with the energy management system (EMS) of Xichang dispatching department.

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