Abstract

Abstract. Alpine ecosystems of the southern Iberian Peninsula are among the most vulnerable and the first to respond to modern climate change in southwestern Europe. While major environmental shifts have occurred over the last ∼1500 years in these alpine ecosystems, only changes in the recent centuries have led to abrupt environmental responses, but factors imposing the strongest stress have been unclear until now. To understand these environmental responses, this study, for the first time, has calibrated an algal lipid-derived temperature proxy (based on long-chain alkyl diols) to instrumental historical data extending alpine temperature reconstructions to 1500 years before present. These novel results highlight the enhanced effect of greenhouse gases on alpine temperatures during the last ∼200 years and the long-term modulating role of solar forcing. This study also shows that the warming rate during the 20th century (∼0.18 ∘C per decade) was double that of the last stages of the Little Ice Age (∼0.09 ∘C per decade), even exceeding temperature trends of the high-altitude Alps during the 20th century. As a consequence, temperature exceeded the preindustrial record in the 1950s, and it has been one of the major forcing processes of the recent enhanced change in these alpine ecosystems from southern Iberia since then. Nevertheless, other factors reducing the snow and ice albedo (e.g., atmospheric deposition) may have influenced local glacier loss, since almost steady climate conditions predominated from the middle 19th century to the first decades of the 20th century.

Highlights

  • Global mean annual surface temperatures have risen by ∼ 0.85 ◦C from 1880 to 2012, and the recent decades have been the warmest in the Northern Hemisphere during the Common Era (IPCC, 2013)

  • Volcanic forcing, which should give rise to negative radiative forcing in the climate system (Ammann et al, 2007; Sigl et al, 2015), does not show a significant correlation with long-chain diol index (LDI)-derived temperatures from the Laguna de Río Seco (LdRS) records over the last 1500 years (Figs. 5d, h and 6c, h; Tables S10, S11). We suggest that this lack of influence on LdRS records is a function of its high-altitude location, at 3020 m a.s.l., in the free troposphere, which reduces the environmental impact of small volcanic tropospheric eruptions that likely have greater effects on lower-elevation sites (Mather et al, 2013)

  • This study shows the vulnerability of alpine regions and the importance of their monitoring for a better understanding of climate variability and future rapid responses

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Summary

Introduction

Global mean annual surface temperatures have risen by ∼ 0.85 ◦C from 1880 to 2012, and the recent decades have been the warmest in the Northern Hemisphere during the Common Era (IPCC, 2013). This trend is alarming, since over the last decade record temperatures have been broken yearly. The term “global warming” is migrating towards recent “climate change” in order to express the variety of modern climate extremes witnessed across the world. The effects of modern global warming and associated climate change events may be causing extreme environmental impacts, beyond what is recorded in the recent

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