Abstract

Electricity theft (ET) is an utmost problem for power utilities because it threatens public safety, disturbs the normal working of grid infrastructure and increases revenue losses. In the literature, many machine learning (ML), deep learning (DL) and statistical based models are introduced to detect ET. However, these models do not give optimal results due to the following reasons: curse of dimensionality, class imbalance problem, inappropriate hyper-parameter tuning of ML and DL models, etc. Keeping the aforementioned concerns in view, we introduce a hybrid DL model for the efficient detection of electricity thieves in smart grids. AlexNet is utilized to handle the curse of dimensionality issue while the final classification of energy thieves and normal consumers is performed through adaptive boosting (AdaBoost). Moreover, class imbalance problem is resolved using an undersampling technique, named as near miss. Furthermore, hyper-parameters of AdaBoost and AlexNet are tuned using artificial bee colony optimization algorithm. The real smart meters’ dataset is used to assess the efficacy of the hybrid model. The substantial amount of simulations proves that the hybrid model obtains the highest classification results as compared to its counterparts. Our proposed model obtains 88%, 86%, 84%, 85%, 78% and 91% accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, Matthew correlation coefficient and area under the curve receiver operating characteristics, respectively.

Highlights

  • Electricity has a greater influence on our daily lives

  • The near miss (NM) technique intelligently equalizes the proportion of classes by minimizing the majority class samples

  • Afterwards, the appropriate performance metrics are opted to measure the effectiveness of the proposed electricity theft detection (ETD) model

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Summary

Introduction

Electricity has a greater influence on our daily lives. Several electronic devices, communication devices and modern electric vehicles are dependent on electricity. The government and private companies distribute electricity to various enterprises, agencies and end users. Electricity losses often occur in transmission and distribution lines. These losses are classified as technical losses (TLs) and non-technical losses (NTLs) [1], [2]. The line losses of Peshawar electric supply company (PESCO) are decreasing every year by 2%, but in the year 2018-19, these losses increased up to 36.2% [4]. These losses are not limited to underdeveloped countries but they affect the economy of developed countries as well. The United States and the United Kingdom accounted for loss of $10.5 and £175 billion per annum because of ET, respectively [5]

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