Albumin-to-globulin ratio (AGR) as a potential marker of predicting lupus nephritis in Chinese patients with systemic lupus erythematosus.

Abstract

To evaluate a potential role of albumin-to-globulin ratio (AGR) in the development of lupus nephritis (LN) and determine the potential to use AGR as a marker for future LN in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients. 194 newly diagnosed SLE patients without renal impairment were followed. The clinical data were collected and analyzed at the time of initial diagnosis of SLE and the end of follow-up. We compared baseline characteristics between those who did or did not develop LN on follow-up. Univariate and multivariate Cox hazard analysis were used to identify predictors of lupus nephritis. Among the 194 newly diagnosed SLE patients without renal impairment, 26 (13.40%) patients were diagnosed with LN during a median follow-up of 53.87 months. On univariate Cox analysis, patients with the history of alopecia, higher SBP, lower AGR, lower CRP, lower C3, lower C4, higher anti-dsDNA Ab, presence of ANA homogeneous patterns or higher SLEDAI had an increased probability of developing LN. In a multivariate model, the history of alopecia (adjust hazard ratio, aHR = 3.614, 95%CI 1.365-9.571 P = 0.010), lower AGR (aHR = 6.968, 95%CI 1.873-25.919, P = 0.004), lower CRP (aHR = 4.230, 95%CI 1.591-11.247, P = 0.004) and higher level of anti-dsDNA (aHR = 2.675, 95%CI 1.008-7.093, P = 0.048) were independently associated with an increased risk of developing LN after adjusting for covariates. Our findings indicated that SLE patients with low AGR, low CRP, high anti-dsDNA and the history of alopecia were more likely to develop LN in the course of SLE. AGR shown the greatest hazard for developing LN among them, it may be a strong predictor.