Abstract

Predictive maintenance has received considerable attention in the aviation industry where costs, system availability and reliability are major concerns. In spite of recent advances, effective health monitoring and prognostics for the scheduling of condition-based maintenance operations is still very challenging. The increasing availability of maintenance and operational data along with recent progress made in machine learning has boosted the development of data-driven prognostics and health management (PHM) models. In this paper, we describe the data workflow in place at an airline for the maintenance of an aircraft system and highlight the difficulties related to a proper labelling of the health status of such systems, resulting in a poor suitability of supervised learning techniques. We focus on investigating the feasibility and the potential of semi-supervised anomaly detection methods for the health monitoring of a real aircraft system. Proposed methods are evaluated on large volumes of real sensor data from a cooling unit system on a modern wide body aircraft from a major European airline. For the sake of confidentiality, data has been anonymized and only few technical and operational details about the system had been made available. We trained several deep neural network autoencoder architectures on nominal data and used the anomaly scores to calculate a health indicator. Results suggest that high anomaly scores are correlated with identified failures in the maintenance logs. Also, some situations see an increase in the anomaly score for several flights prior to the system’s failure, which paves a natural way for early fault identification.

Highlights

  • Prognostics and health management (PHM) has drawn growing interest from industrial and academic research in the last few years, especially in sectors like aviation where profit margins are small and operational costs are critical

  • In this sub-section, we briefly review progresses made in anomaly detection applied to aviation in general, before focusing in the subsections on data-driven methods adapted to the prognostics and health management (PHM) field

  • We can mention hybrid neural network approaches such in [24], where a Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) is combined with a gated recurrent unit (GRU) Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) in order to extract spatio-temporal features from sensor data and detect anomalies in rotating machinery

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Summary

Introduction

Prognostics and health management (PHM) has drawn growing interest from industrial and academic research in the last few years, especially in sectors like aviation where profit margins are small and operational costs are critical. Oehling et al [12] approach based on Local Outlier Probability (LoOP) [13] was applied to an airline dataset of 1.2 million flights in order to detect anomalies related to safety events Classical approaches such as clustering or distance-based methods like k-Nearest Neighbours (kNN) suffer from the curse of dimensionality issue when applied to highdimensional data. With large-scale high-complex data as the one generally available in aviation, deeplearning approaches are supposed to perform better than traditional machine learning methods [5]. They present significant limitations when applied to long sequences

Data-Driven Approaches for Prognostics
Applications to Aircraft Systems Health Monitoring
Flight and Sensor Data
Maintenance Data
Anomaly Detection Models
Anomaly Threshold
Autoencoder Models
Model Training
Model Testing
Training and Validation Losses
Signal Reconstruction
Health Indicator
Fault Anticipation
Conclusions
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