Abstract

The effects of the restriction policies on human mobility and on the prevention of SARS-CoV-2 (coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) transmission were reported. The efficiency of human mobility restriction due to the social distancing measures of cities on preventing SARS-CoV-2 spread remains unclear. The objective of this study was to investigate the mediating effects of air pollution on the association between human mobility and daily confirmed COVID-19 cases. Daily mobility data (i.e., walking, driving, and using public transport), air pollutants, and confirmed COVID-19 cases were collected in Taiwan during 1 to 30 May 2021. Associations of air pollution with 7-day-lag confirmed COVID-19 cases and with mobility were examined by linear regression models, while the mediating effects were assessed using a PROCESS analysis. We observed that an increase in air pollution was associated with an increase in confirmed COVID-19 cases (p < 0.05). We found that 1 min spent on mobility was associated with changes in air pollution levels (p < 0.05). We observed that levels of particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of < 10 µm (PM10), PM2.5, NO2, and CO mediated associations of walking, driving, and using public transport with confirmed COVID-19 cases (p < 0.05). Our findings suggest that the nationwide restrictions (social distancing measures) may reduce human mobility and activities, which was associated with a decrease in confirmed COVID-19 cases due to the mediating effects of air pollution. Reductions in human mobility and air pollution could be effective measures for controlling COVID-19 transmission.

Highlights

  • Introduction2019, the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has spread worldwide and infected over 200 million people (WHO, 2021)

  • Since the primary outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Wuhan, China in lateAerosol and Air Quality Research | https://aaqr.org2019, the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has spread worldwide and infected over 200 million people (WHO, 2021)

  • Our findings suggest that the nationwide restrictions may reduce human mobility and activities, which was associated with a decrease in confirmed COVID-19 cases due to the mediating effects of air pollution

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Summary

Introduction

2019, the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has spread worldwide and infected over 200 million people (WHO, 2021). There are approximately 211 million confirmed cases and 4.4 million deaths due to COVID-19 infection according to a World Health Organization (WHO) report (WHO, 2021). Despite most patients having a mild respiratory illness after an infection, about 26% of patients experience severe pulmonary abnormalities (Huang et al, 2020). Besides the association of COVID-19 transmissibility with human mobility, as evaluated in previous studies, it is worth mentioning that emerging evidence has shown the impact of air pollution on transmission of COVID-19 (Cao et al, 2021; Shao et al, 2021). National lockdowns successfully reduced human activities and air pollution levels (Sahraei et al, 2021). The emergence of mutant SARSCoV-2 variants from the United Kingdom (UK) and South Africa led to unexpected resurgences in the pandemic around the world in 2021

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