Abstract

BackgroundUnderstanding the production trend of the major food crops is an important step for any nation that evaluates her agricultural progress. This evaluation should mostly focus on the yields per unit area. So far, it can also earmark the expansion of farms to determine the general yields trend. The main objective of this paper is to assess the production trend of the major food crops and their efficacy to food security in Tanzania. This is particular important because for the past three decades, the country has failed to control food security (especially food availability and accessibility).ResultsHere, crop data from 1980 to 2015 were gathered from the Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Fishery (MALF), and in the respective regions. In some incidences, the regional data were averaged to elicit their preciseness. To determine the objectivity of this study, agricultural policy, programs, and plans from MALF were reviewed for similar purpose. Mostly, the Mann-Kendal Test and Microsoft Excel were used for data analyses. The results show that the production of the total yields had a positive trend (i.e., growing at R2 = 0.4 and 0.8), while that of the yields (ton/ha) had a negative trend (i.e., declining at R2 = 0.02 and 0.3). It was further realized that the total yields mostly boomed due to farm expansion.ConclusionsDespite the efforts from various agricultural stakeholders, the country has not yet achieved a sustainable crop yield and food security. Explicitly, this situation has been affecting peoples’ livelihoods, and other sectors either directly or indirectly. Therefore, there is a need to improve the production strategies and approaches (i.e., more especially technology and marketing) to limit this problem.

Highlights

  • Understanding the production trend of the major food crops is an important step for any nation that evaluates her agricultural progress

  • This study aims to assess the efficacy of the major food crop production and its implications to food security, economic development and policy framework

  • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) [12] informed that Tanzania and other sub-Saharan African countries will continue to be vulnerable to the impacts of climate change

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Summary

Introduction

Understanding the production trend of the major food crops is an important step for any nation that evaluates her agricultural progress. This evaluation should mostly focus on the yields per unit area. Despite the increase in both land expansion and agricultural development, the problem of food security has remained unresolved [8, 9]. Reports from both domestic and international agencies such as FAO have reinstated. Some regions have favorable biophysical characteristics (i.e., soils, water sources and climate just to mention a few) than others This differential biophysical endowment has significant implications to crop yields. This situation leads to differential agricultural outputs among the regions within the country [9, 10]

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