Abstract

Abstract. Current estimates of agricultural ammonia (NH3) emissions in China differ by more than a factor of 2, hindering our understanding of their environmental consequences. Here we apply both bottom-up statistical and top-down inversion methods to quantify NH3 emissions from agriculture in China for the year 2008. We first assimilate satellite observations of NH3 column concentration from the Tropospheric Emission Spectrometer (TES) using the GEOS-Chem adjoint model to optimize Chinese anthropogenic NH3 emissions at the 1∕2° × 2∕3° horizontal resolution for March–October 2008. Optimized emissions show a strong summer peak, with emissions about 50 % higher in summer than spring and fall, which is underestimated in current bottom-up NH3 emission estimates. To reconcile the latter with the top-down results, we revisit the processes of agricultural NH3 emissions and develop an improved bottom-up inventory of Chinese NH3 emissions from fertilizer application and livestock waste at the 1∕2° × 2∕3° resolution. Our bottom-up emission inventory includes more detailed information on crop-specific fertilizer application practices and better accounts for meteorological modulation of NH3 emission factors in China. We find that annual anthropogenic NH3 emissions are 11.7 Tg for 2008, with 5.05 Tg from fertilizer application and 5.31 Tg from livestock waste. The two sources together account for 88 % of total anthropogenic NH3 emissions in China. Our bottom-up emission estimates also show a distinct seasonality peaking in summer, consistent with top-down results from the satellite-based inversion. Further evaluations using surface network measurements show that the model driven by our bottom-up emissions reproduces the observed spatial and seasonal variations of NH3 gas concentrations and ammonium (NH4+) wet deposition fluxes over China well, providing additional credibility to the improvements we have made to our agricultural NH3 emission inventory.

Highlights

  • Ammonia (NH3) and its aerosol-phase product ammonium (NH+4 ) exert important influences on atmospheric chemistry and biodiversity

  • Recent studies highlighted the possible role of NH3 in neutralizing aerosol pH that can strongly enhance formation of sulfate through heterogeneous oxidation of SO2 (Wang et al, 2016; Cheng et al, 2016; Paulot et al, 2016). All this evidence leads to increasing concerns that the effectiveness of SO2 and nitrogen oxides (NOx) emission controls on fine particulate matter (PM) pollution over China may be undermined by unregulated NH3 emissions (Wang et al, 2013; Fu et al, 2017)

  • We find that a 30 % increase of Asian NH3 emissions would increase the total nitrate concentration by about 10 %, but deviations of NH3 concentrations in the offline simulation from the standard simulation due to the NH3 emission change are less than 3 % over China

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Summary

Introduction

Ammonia (NH3) and its aerosol-phase product ammonium (NH+4 ) exert important influences on atmospheric chemistry and biodiversity They contribute to formation of fine particulate matter (PM) that has adverse effects on air quality and visibility (Park et al, 2004; Lelieveld et al, 2015) and causes a cooling climatic forcing (Martin et al, 2004; Henze et al, 2012). Recent studies highlighted the possible role of NH3 in neutralizing aerosol pH that can strongly enhance formation of sulfate through heterogeneous oxidation of SO2 (Wang et al, 2016; Cheng et al, 2016; Paulot et al, 2016) All this evidence leads to increasing concerns that the effectiveness of SO2 and NOx emission controls on fine PM pollution over China may be undermined by unregulated NH3 emissions (Wang et al, 2013; Fu et al, 2017). We further evaluate the topdown and the improved bottom-up Chinese NH3 emissions using an ensemble of surface measurements of NH3 gas concentration and NH+4 wet deposition flux

Previous bottom-up estimates of Chinese NH3 emissions
The GEOS-Chem model
The GEOS-Chem adjoint
Adjoint inversion of Chinese NH3 emissions with satellite observations
Improving bottom-up estimates of agricultural NH3 emissions
NH3 emission from fertilizer application
Fertilizer application magnitude
Emission factor from fertilizer application
Livestock waste
Improved emissions and evaluation with surface measurements
Findings
Conclusions
Full Text
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