Agreement of Predicted 305-Day Milk Yields Relative to Actual 305-Day Milk Weight Yields

Abstract

The objectives of this study were to compare the multiple trait prediction (MTP) model estimate of 305-d lactation yield with the 305-d daily milk yield data from on-farm automated meters and software and to examine the accuracy of electronic identification (ID). Twenty-four-hour milk and component yields are calculated by using milk weights and samples collected 8 to 10 times/yr by Dairy Herd Improvement (DHI) organizations. Daily milk weights were collected from cows on 20 Canadian farms that used parlor milking systems with electronic ID and that were enrolled in a regular DHI program. A total of 10,175 DHI test days from 1,103 cows with complete 305-d lactation yields were entered into the MTP model, and lactation yields were predicted. Test days were grouped into first, second, and third and greater lactations and within each lactation group, days in milk were categorized in 3 stages (5 to 60, 61 to 120, and 120 to 305 d in milk) for a total of 9 classes. Agreement analysis was used to compare the 305-d sum of daily milk to the MTP 305-d lactation yield predictions by using inputs from test days throughout the lactations. Results indicated that the MTP model overestimated lactation yields across all parity groups, ranging from 310 to 1,552kg in parity 1, 640 to 2,000kg in parity 2, and 567 to 1,476kg in parity 3 and greater. A preliminary examination of electronic ID accuracy was conducted on 4 farms. Two electronic ID systems were examined for cow ID accuracy by verifying the ID number appearing in the parlor with the corresponding ear tag number. There were no ID errors on 3 of 4 farms tested and only a very small number of errors (3/80) on the fourth farm, indicating that the electronic ID systems used in milking parlors identify cows accurately.