Agglomeration and migration of population in resource-based cities: evidence from DMSP/OLS and NPP/VIIRS night-time lights

Abstract

ABSTRACT The population loss in mining areas intensifies the imbalance of the development of resource-based cities (RBCs). How to use night-time light to describe the spatial-temporal evolution pattern of population and compare the agglomeration and migration characteristics of population in coal mine concentration area (CMCA) and cities has become an important issue for sustainable development of RBCs. By fitting the DMSP/OLS and NPP/VIIRS night-time lights, this paper completed the simulation of population distribution of Linfen City in 2003/2008/2013/2018 by constructing the population spatialization model, and measured the urban population agglomeration and migration by using the geographical concentration index of population (GCP) and relative population migration index (RPM). The results show that the population agglomeration and migration of CMCA and cities are not synchronized. The GCP of the whole city shows an upward trend, while the GCP of CMCA shows a trend of substantial decrease first and then increase. From 2013 to 2018, the RPM of CMCA rebounded and reached 0.0307, reflecting the alleviation of population loss in CMCA. It is suggested that night-time lights should be used in the dynamic change assessment of population in RBCs, and measures such as coordinated development, acceleration of industrial transformation and promotion of urbanization should be taken to realize the reasonable distribution of population in RBCs.