Abstract

Emergency management agencies will organize people to evacuee when disasters are forecasted. However, contradictions between individual behavior and group objective appear frequently during large-scale evacuations, the problem is obviously in the process of fisher boats evacuation. So, this paper set up fisher boats evacuation simulation model considering individual desire of back harbor. In the agent-based model, Typhoon and harbor are inactive agents, government and fisher boats are active agents. Fisher boats make decisions whether back to harbor and which harbor to be choose according of typhoon forecast information and government instruction. The model uses the harbors of Zhejiang province as a case.

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