Abstract
Population ageing represents a dramatic scenario and a progressive process inducing major changes in the dynamics of the population and especially in the age structure. The ageing population process is a phenomenon relevant to define not only demographic but also social, cultural, and territorial transformations in relation to the urban settlements. In this article, we present a case study regarding the ageing process persistent in urban areas from the counties of the Transylvania region. The present study emphasizing the evolution of the older adults age group between 2015 and 2019, drawing a forecast model for the prognosis period 2020–2050. The tendencies of the population decline process are revealed by the outcomes of the ageing index, outlining some long-term effects of population ageing over the years. The study of this phenomenon reveals an important framework at the regional level of Transylvania and points out the means to determine its existence in other regions or countries, since it affects the urban population evolution and its dynamics.
Highlights
IntroductionSince the determinants of population ageing (fertility rate, mortality rate, net migration) became a topic of study since the 1950s (e.g., Valaoras 1950; Coale 1956; United Nations 1956), priority has usually been given to fertility decline and mortality improvement, which have sometimes been presented as the primary drivers of long-term population ageing [15,16,17]
The causes of population ageing can be prognosticated and explained by distinguishing two demographic trajectories: a positive one characterized by decrease of older adult people and increase of young people showing an equilibrium of total population composition and a negative one characterized by the increase of older adult people changing the age structure of the urban population
The phenomenon of shrinking is causing decrease in total number of urban population and deterioration of age structure, which leads to a strong demographic decline and depopulation
Summary
Since the determinants of population ageing (fertility rate, mortality rate, net migration) became a topic of study since the 1950s (e.g., Valaoras 1950; Coale 1956; United Nations 1956), priority has usually been given to fertility decline and mortality improvement, which have sometimes been presented as the primary drivers of long-term population ageing [15,16,17]. These demographic changes, especially the problem of progressive ageing, are considered some of the greatest future challenges of the European Union [18].
Sign-in/Register to view highlights & summary Sign-in/Register to access full text options 
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
