Age-related DNA methylation analysis for forensic age estimation using post-mortem blood samples from Japanese individuals

Abstract

• DNA methylation can be a feasible age predictor in postmortem blood samples. • Four CpGs on ASPA , ELOVL2 , ITGA2B and PDE4C correlated well with age in this study. • Further study is needed to explore all-age-group DNA methylation markers. • Compared to the linear model, the quantile model is recommended in this study. As one of external visible characteristics (EVCs) in forensic phenotyping, age estimation is essential to providing additional information about a sample donor. With the development of epigenetics, age-related DNA methylation may be used as a reliable predictor of age estimation. With the aim of building a feasible age estimation model for Japanese individuals, 53 CpG sites distributed between 11 candidate genes were selected from previous studies. The DNA methylation level of each target CpG site was identified and measured on a massive parallel platform (synthesis by sequencing, Illumina, California, United States) from 60 forensic blood samples during the initial training phase. Multiple linear regression and quantile regression analyses were later performed to build linear and quantile age estimation models, respectively. Four CpG sites on four genes— ASPA, ELOVL2, ITGA2B, and PDE4C —, were found to be highly correlated with chronological age in DNA samples from Japanese individuals (|R| > 0.75). Subsequently, an independent validation dataset (n = 30) was used to verify and evaluate the performance of the two models. Comparison of mean absolute deviation (MAD) with other indicators showed that both models provide accurate age predictions (MAD: linear = 6.493 years; quantile = 6.243 years). The quantile model, however, can provide the changeable prediction intervals that grow wider with increasing age, and this tendency is consistent with the natural aging process in humans. Hence, the quantile model is recommended in this study.