Age is Associated with Level of First-Time Anterior Cervical Discectomy and Fusion: An Ordinal Analysis of Factors Influencing Timing of Cervical Degeneration

Abstract

Symptomatic cervical spondylosis is often treated with anterior cervical decompression and fusion (ACDF). However, few factors can predict which cervical level will degenerate and require intervention. This analysis evaluates pre-procedural factors associated with level of first-time single-level ACDF. We performed a retrospective analysis of patients who underwent single-level ACDF without prior history of spine surgery. Mann Whitney U-tests and Spearman rank-order correlation were performed for analyses of associations between variables of interest and ACDF level. Adjusted odds-ratios were calculated by proportional-odds logistic regression, with age, sex, body mass index (BMI), current tobacco use, history of neck trauma, preoperative radicular symptoms, and preoperative myelopathic symptoms as covariates. 141 patients met inclusion criteria, and age demonstrated a negative correlation with ACDF level, such that younger patients tended to have ACDF performed at inferior subaxial levels (p=0.0006, rho = -0.31, moderately strong relationship). Patients with pre-operative radicular symptoms and myelopathic symptoms were more likely to have ACDF performed at inferior (p=0.0001) and superior (p<0.0001) levels, respectively. Patient sex, BMI, current tobacco use, and history of neck trauma were not predictive of ACDF level. When adjusting for the above variables in a proportional-odds ordinal logistic regression model, a one year increase in age conferred a 4% increase in the odds of requiring an ACDF at a given superior level compared to the adjacent inferior level. Age is correlated with level of first-time single level ACDF. Individual subaxial levels may have unique biomechanical properties that influence degeneration.