Abstract
Few studies have simultaneously addressed the importance of age of onset and persistence of eczema for the subsequent development of asthma and hay fever, particularly into early adulthood. A high-risk birth cohort was recruited comprising 620 infants, who were then followed up frequently until 2years of age, annually from age 3 to 7, then at 12 and 18years, to document any episodes of eczema, current asthma, and hay fever. The generalized estimation equationtechnique was used to examine asthma and hay fever outcomes at 6 (n=325), 12 (n=248) and 18 (n=240) years, when there was consistency of associations across the follow-ups. Very early-onset persistent (onset <6months, still present from 2 to 5years) eczema was related to current asthma (adjusted OR=3.2 [95% CI=1.7-6.1]), as was very early-onset remitting eczema (onset <6months but not present from 2-5years, OR=2.7, 95% CI=1.0-7.2) and early-onset persistent eczema (onset from 6-24months, OR=2.3, 95% CI=1.2-4.7). Late-onset eczema (commenced from 2-5years) was associated with increased risk of asthma at 12years (OR=3.0, 95% CI=1.1-8.2) but not at age 6years. Only very early-onset persistent eczema was associated with increased risk of hay fever (aOR=2.4, 95% CI=1.4-4.1). Eczema which commences in early infancy and persists into toddler years is strongly associated with asthma, and to a lesser extent hay fever, in high-risk children. If these associations are causal, prevention of early-life eczema might reduce the risk of respiratory allergy.
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