Age and liver graft: a systematic review with meta-regression

Abstract

Increasing organ shortage results in extended criteria donors (ECD) being used to face the growing demand for liver grafts. The demographic change leads to greater use of elderly donors for liver transplantation, historically considered marginal donors. Age is still considered amongst ECD in liver transplantation as it could affect transplant outcomes. However, what is the cutoff for donor age is still unclear and debated. A search of PubMed, Scopus and Cochrane Library was performed. The primary outcome was 1-year graft survival (GS). The secondary outcome was overall biliary complications and 3–5 years of graft and overall survival. A meta-regression model was used to analyse the temporal trend relation in the survival outcome. The meta-analysis included 11 studies. Hazard ratios for 1-year (age cutoff of 70 and 80,) and 5-year GS (I2:0%) were similar irrespectively of the age group. The meta-regression analysis showed a significant correlation between the 1-year graft survival and the year of publication. (coef. 0.00027, 95% CI − 0.0001 to − 0.0003 p = 0.0009). Advanced-age donors showed an increased risk of overall biliary complications with an odd ratio (OR) of 1.89 (95% CI 1–3.65). Liver grafts potentially discharged because of high-risk failure show encouraging results, and GS in ECD has progressively improved with a temporal trend. Currently, the criteria of marginality vary amongst centres. Age alone cannot be considered amongst the extended criteria. First of all, because of the positive results in terms of septuagenarian graft survival. Moreover, the potential elderly donor-related adjunctive risk can be balanced by reducing other risk factors. A prospective multicentre study should investigate a multi-factorial model based on donor criteria, recipient features and new functional biomarkers to predict graft outcome, as proper donor–recipient matching seems to be the critical point for good outcomes.