Abstract

Appropriate interpretation of blood tests is important for risk stratification and guidelines used in the Emergency Department (ED) (such as SIRS or CURB-65). The impact of abnormal blood test values on mortality may change with increasing age due to (patho)-physiologic changes. The aim of this study was therefore to assess the effect of age on the case-mix adjusted association between biomarkers of renal function and homeostasis, inflammation and circulation and in-hospital mortality. This observational multi-center cohort study has used the Netherlands Emergency department Evaluation Database (NEED), including all consecutive ED patients ≥ 18 years of three hospitals. A generalized additive logistic regression model was used to visualize the association between in-hospital mortality, age and five blood tests (creatinine, sodium, leukocytes, C-reactive Protein, and hemoglobin). Multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to assess the association between the number of abnormal blood test values and mortality per age category (18–50; 51–65; 66–80; > 80 years). Of the 94,974 included patients, 2550 (2.7%) patients died in-hospital. Mortality increased gradually for C-reactive Protein (CRP), and had a U-shaped association for creatinine, sodium, leukocytes, and hemoglobin. Age significantly affected the associations of all studied blood tests except in leukocytes. In addition, with increasing age categories, case-mix adjusted mortality increased with the number of abnormal blood tests. In summary, the association between blood tests and (adjusted) mortality depends on age. Mortality increases gradually or in a U-shaped manner with increasing blood test values. Age-adjusted numerical scores may improve risk stratification. Our results have implications for interpretation of blood tests and their use in risk stratification tools and acute care guidelines.Trial registration number Netherlands Trial Register (NTR) NL8422, 03/2020.

Highlights

  • For objective 1, our goal was to study how creatinine, sodium, leukocytes, C-reactive Protein (CRP), and hemoglobin are associated with mortality in emergency care, and how these associations changes with age

  • We studied the association between the number of abnormal blood tests and mortality with multivariable logistic regression using similar potential confounders as described above

  • The association between blood tests and mortality depends on age, whereas mortality risk is affected most by deviating biomarker levels in younger patients

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Summary

Objectives

The aim of this study was to assess the effect of age on the case-mix adjusted association between biomarkers of renal function and homeostasis, inflammation and circulation and in-hospital mortality. The aim of the present study is twofold: First, to assess the effect of age on the associations between biomarkers of renal function and homeostasis, inflammation and circulation and in-hospital mortality. For objective 1, we aimed to adjust for six potential confounders in the multivariable logistic regression analysis. For objective 2, we aimed to adjust for 39 potential confounders as described in the main statistical analyses section. For objective 1, our goal was to study how creatinine, sodium, leukocytes, CRP, and hemoglobin are associated with mortality in emergency care, and how these associations changes with age

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