Abstract

The recent mortgage crisis was astonishing in its magnitude, both for the mortgage market and the economy as a whole. This chapter begins by discussing who forecast the steep decline in US house prices and the concomitant implosion of the mortgage market, who did not foresee the decline and why, and some of the mechanisms through which the crisis was magnified.It then gives a brief overview of the findings of majority and minority reports of the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission. Among other things, it discusses failures in the underwriting modeling process, the supply chain process, the compensation process, and the rating agencies when it came to fueling the crisis. It also discusses how the inability of participants in the synthetic security markets magnified the crisis.

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