Abstract

Single-variable analyses have limited ability to explain complex phenomena such as the regulation of prolonged physical (aerobic) performance. Our study aimed to identify predictors of performance in rats subjected to incremental-speed running exercise. Notably, most variables assessed were associated with rats’ thermoregulation. We extracted data from 355 records obtained in 216 adult Wistar rats. Hierarchical multiple linear regression analyses were conducted to identify the predictive power of eight variables. The distance traveled, a performance index, was the dependent variable. The independent variables included body mass, biological sex, body core temperature (TCORE) measurement site, and the following thermoregulation-related variables: ambient temperature (TAMB), initial TCORE, exercise-induced change in TCORE (ΔTCORE), ΔTCORE from 0 to 10 min (ΔTCORE 0-10; when TCORE increase is fastest), and heat loss index (HLI). This analysis with eight variables revealed an adjusted R2 of 0.495; TAMB, ΔTCORE, body mass, and ΔTCORE 0-10 had the highest predictive powers (β values: -0.700, 0.463, -0.353, and -0.130, respectively). Additional analyses consisted of separate regressions for each TCORE index measured: abdominal (TABD), brain (TBRAIN), and colonic (TCOL) temperature. These analyses yielded adjusted R2 values of 0.608 (TABD), 0.550 (TBRAIN), and 0.437 (TCOL). Again, the distance traveled was primarily predicted by body mass and thermoregulation-related variables (TAMB, ΔTCORE, and ΔTCORE 0-10). Among these four variables, ΔTCORE was the only one with a positive β value (directly predicted performance), while the others had negative values. Collectively, these findings advance our understanding of performance regulation in rats, especially regarding the role of thermoregulation-related variables.

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