Advances in understanding and predicting the spread of invading insect populations.

Abstract

Understanding and predicting the spread of invading insects is a critical challenge in management programs that aim to minimize ecological and economic harm to native ecosystems. Although efforts to quantify spread rates have been well studied over the past several decades, opportunities to improve our ability to estimate rates of spread, and identify the factors, such as habitat suitability and climate, that influence spread, remain. We review emerging sources of data that can be used to delineate distributional boundaries through time and thus serve as a basis for quantifying spread rates. We then address advances in modeling methods that facilitate our understanding of factors that drive invasive insect spread. We conclude by highlighting some remaining challenges in understanding and predicting invasive insect spread, such as the role of climate change and biotic similarity between the native and introduced ranges, particularly as it applies to decision-making in management programs.