Abstract
The damage or deterioration of the mechanical components is a complex and non-linear evolutionary process, but this evolution was not included into the traditional mechanical design method. Therefore, the reliability’s accuracy rate declined over time by this method. To describe the actual situation, combining the time-dependent design method and the maximum predictable time theory, a new design method is presented. By using this method, the reliability of all time horizons can be gained to predict the trend of key parts’ reliability for all machines. This research can also provide a basis for maintenance of machine.
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