Adult occupant injury risk in rear impact and frontal impact: Effect of impact conditions and occupant-related factors

Abstract

Objectives The objectives of this study were to compare the adult occupant injury risk on specific body regions in frontal and rear impact and to investigate the effect of those crash conditions and occupant-related factors on the injury risk. Method Data from the NASS-CDS and Crash Investigation Sampling System were studied for crashes during 2000 to 2019 involving model year 2000 to 2020 motor vehicles, including frontal collisions and rear-end collisions. The injury risk by specific body regions were compared by descriptive statistics, and logistic regression models were developed to examine the effects of various factors on injury risk by specific body regions, controlling for crash type (frontal impact and rear impact), vehicle impact speed, vehicle impact location, vehicle model year, and occupant gender, age, belt use, and seating position. Results After controlling for the confounding factors, the occupants in frontal impact had higher overall injury risk than in rear impact (at Maximum Abbreviated Injury Scale [MAIS] 3+; odds ratio [OR] = 6.23; 95% confidence interval [CI] [6.06–6.40]), except for lower neck/spine injury risk at MAIS 1+ (OR = 0.47; 95% CI [0.46–0.47]). The impact speed (at MAIS 3+; OR = 1.10; 95% CI [1.10–1.10]) and aging (at MAIS 3+; OR = 1.05; 95% CI [1.05–1.05]) increase overall injury risk, and the unbelted occupants had higher overall injury risk than belted occupants not only in frontal impact (at MAIS 3+; OR = 4.04; 95% CI [3.98–4.10]), but also in rear impact (at MAIS 3+; OR = 28.4; 95% CI [26.4–30.5]). Females had higher overall injury risk than males in frontal impact (at MAIS 3+; OR = 2.01; 95% CI [1.99–2.04]) but not in rear impact (at MAIS 3+; OR = 0.77; 95% CI [0.73–0.81]). Conclusions Occupants in rear impact had lower injury risk than in frontal impact at MAIS 1+ to MAIS 3+, except for neck/spine at MAIS 1+. The belt restraint was effective not only in frontal impact but also in rear impact. This study provided injury risk references for current vehicles that may provide insight to the potential injury risk of rear-facing occupants in future vehicle configurations.