Adrenal glands enhancement in computed tomography as predictor of short-and intermediate term mortality in critically ill patients

Abstract

PurposeTo investigate whether adrenal gland radiodensities alone or compared to the inferior vena cava (IVC) can correctly predict hospital mortality in patients in intensive care. MethodsOne hundred thirteen intensive care patients (76 males, age: 67.2 ± 14.0 years) with an acute clinical deterioration were included in this retrospective analysis. For the venous and the arterial phase CT attenuation (Hounsfield units) of adrenal glands and IVC was ROI-based evaluated by two radiologists separately. ROC analysis, combined with the Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC) as a classifier, was used to assess whether one of the parameters is suitable for predicting short and medium-term mortality and, if so, which parameter is most appropriate. Interrater agreement was assessed using the intraclass correlation coefficient. ResultsTwenty-one patients (18.6%) died within three days in the ICU. Measurements of the adrenal glands in the portal venous phase yielded the highest discriminative power (=AUC) to distinguish between deceased and survivors. A threshold ratio of >95.5 predicted 72-hour mortality with a sensitivity of 76.19% and a specificity of 92.39% (AUC = 0.84; p < 0.0001). The positive likelihood ratio was 10.1; the positive predictive value was 69%. The predictive power for 24-hour mortality was slightly lower. Venous adrenal-to-IVC ratios and arterial measurements as a whole were substantially less suitable. All intraclass correlation coefficients indicated a high interrater agreement. ConclusionsIn the portal venous phase, hyperattenuating of the adrenal glands on contrast-enhanced CT can predict short and intermediate ICU mortality quite well and may serve as a reproducible prognostic marker for individual patient outcomes.