Abstract

BackgroundOne of the major challenges in estimating health care spending spent on each cause of illness is allocating spending for a health care event to a single cause of illness in the presence of comorbidities. Comorbidities, the secondary diagnoses, are common across many causes of illness and often correlate with worse health outcomes and more expensive health care. In this study, we propose a method for measuring the average spending for each cause of illness with and without comorbidities.MethodsOur strategy for measuring cause of illness-specific spending and adjusting for the presence of comorbidities uses a regression-based framework to estimate excess spending due to comorbidities. We consider multiple causes simultaneously, allowing causes of illness to appear as either a primary diagnosis or a comorbidity. Our adjustment method distributes excess spending away from primary diagnoses (outflows), exaggerated due to the presence of comorbidities, and allocates that spending towards causes of illness that appear as comorbidities (inflows). We apply this framework for spending adjustment to the National Inpatient Survey data in the United States for years 1996-2012 to generate comorbidity-adjusted health care spending estimates for 154 causes of illness by age and sex.ResultsThe primary diagnoses with the greatest number of comorbidities in the NIS dataset were acute renal failure, septicemia, and endocarditis. Hypertension, diabetes, and ischemic heart disease were the most common comorbidities across all age groups. After adjusting for comorbidities, chronic kidney diseases, atrial fibrillation and flutter, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease increased by 74.1%, 40.9%, and 21.0%, respectively, while pancreatitis, lower respiratory infections, and septicemia decreased by 21.3%, 17.2%, and 16.0%. For many diseases, comorbidity adjustments had varying effects on spending for different age groups.ConclusionsOur methodology takes a unified approach to account for excess spending caused by the presence of comorbidities. Adjusting for comorbidities provides a substantially altered, more accurate estimate of the spending attributed to specific cause of illness. Making these adjustments supports improved resource tracking, accountability, and planning for future resource allocation.

Highlights

  • One of the major challenges in estimating health care spending spent on each cause of illness is allocating spending for a health care event to a single cause of illness in the presence of comorbidities

  • Because a cause of illness can be a primary diagnosis in one encounter and a comorbidity in another, spending may be reallocated both from and to the cause

  • The primary diagnoses that had the highest number of associated comorbidities were acute renal failure, septicemia, and endocarditis

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Summary

Introduction

One of the major challenges in estimating health care spending spent on each cause of illness is allocating spending for a health care event to a single cause of illness in the presence of comorbidities. One of the major challenges in measuring spending for a cause of illness is allocating spending for a health care event to a single cause of illness when comorbidities are present [1]. Without adjusting for comorbidities in a systematic way, disease spending studies are likely to distort the true spending associated with causes of illness. A few studies focus on spending for a single causes of illness and use regression-based methods to distribute spending across multiple diagnoses [4, 10–12]. While these studies do partially account for comorbidities, they tend to focus on a single disease, and risk distorting and overstating spending [1]. One systematic review of disease-specific spending studies found that the summed estimates for approximately 80 diseases added to more than double the total national health spending in the US in a single year [13]

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