Abstract

The generation and transmission capacities of many power systems in the world are significantly increasing due to the escalating global electricity demand. Therefore, the adequacy evaluation of power systems has become a computationally challenging and time-consuming task. Recently, population-based intelligent search methods such as Genetic Algorithms (GAs) and Binary Particle Swarm Optimization (BPSO) have been successfully employed for evaluating the adequacy of power generation systems. In this work, the authors propose a novel Evolutionary Swarm Algorithm (ESA) for the adequacy evaluation of composite generation and transmission systems. The random search guiding mechanism of the ESA is based on the underlying philosophies of GAs and BPSO. The main objective of the ESA is to find out the most probable system failure states that significantly affect the adequacy of composite systems. The identified system failure states can be directly used to estimate the system adequacy indices. The proposed ESA-based framework is used to evaluate the adequacy of the IEEE Reliability Test System (RTS). The estimated annualized and annual adequacy indices such as Probability of Load Curtailments (PLC), Expected Duration of Load Curtailments (EDLC), Expected Energy Not Supplied (EENS) and Expected Frequency of Load Curtailments (EFLC) are compared with those obtained using Sequential Monte Carlo Simulation (SMCS), GA and BPSO. The results show that the accuracy, computational efficiency, convergence characteristics, and precision of the ESA outperform those of GA and BPSO. Moreover, compared to SMCS, the ESA can estimate the adequacy indices in a more time-efficient manner.

Highlights

  • T HE global electricity demand is expected to grow by 2.4% per year up to 2040 [1]

  • The system states associated with zero load curtailment are success states, whereas the states with load curtailment are considered as failure states

  • The results show that Evolutionary Swarm Algorithm (ESA) can sample the most probable system failure states within a fewer number of iterations than Genetic Algorithms (GAs) and Binary Particle Swarm Optimization (BPSO)

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Summary

INTRODUCTION

T HE global electricity demand is expected to grow by 2.4% per year up to 2040 [1]. power systems must gradually grow in both size and supply capability to satisfy the continuously increasing consumer demand. The available or unavailable bus generation, generation reserve capacity and unavailable transmission capacity are used as the input variables to the classification models These methods can be incorporated into the MCS and only the states that are classified as system failures are evaluated instead of applying the OPF analysis on all the sampled states. There are several limitations native to the application of two widely used PIS methods (i.e. GAs and BPSO) in power system adequacy evaluation which leads to a low sampling efficiency. The applicability of PIS without MCS is investigated for evaluating the adequacy of composite power systems where transmission and generation are considered together.

DYNAMIC MUTATION OPERATOR
COMPOSITE SYSTEM ADEQUACY EVALUATION PROCEDURE
APPLICATION STUDIES
Findings
DISCUSSION
CONCLUSION
Full Text
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