Abstract

This paper examines the capital costs for alternative water supply projects in Florida, the third most populous state in the United States. The increasing scarcity of fresh groundwater in Florida has led to investments in alternative water supply sources, including brackish groundwater, surface water capture and storage, reclaimed water, and stormwater. Expenditures to meet the growing water demand for the 20-year planning horizon are estimated using water demand projections and existing supply estimates from Florida’s five water management districts. In the regions where demand projections exceed the existing supply, the districts are required to identify project options to meet the growing water demand while protecting the natural systems. This study uses the database of 645 projects implemented in the past or considered for the future. The Ordinary Least Squares regression model shows that project implementation costs depend on project capacity, type, implementation status, and implementation region. Given the most common project types and project sizes, the total investments to meet the state’s future water demand could reach almost $2 billion in the next 20 years. The expenditures necessitate more cost-effective options (such as expanding stormwater use and water conservation).

Highlights

  • Expenditure forecasting is an integral part of long-term regional water supply development and water resource management [1]

  • 426 projects were excluded since these projects did not directly contribute to the development of new water supply

  • In line with Gleick’s recommendations, Florida has been rethinking water supply and developing sources that have been ignored in the past, such as reclaimed water, brackish groundwater, surface water storage, and stormwater

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Summary

Introduction

Expenditure forecasting is an integral part of long-term regional water supply development and water resource management [1]. Economic recessions and utility revenue shrinkages due to per capita water use reduction translate into a funding deficit for water supply development and environmental

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