Abstract

Emerging findings from studies with infants at familial high risk for autism spectrum disorder (ASD), owing to an older sibling with a diagnosis, suggest that those who go on to develop ASD show early impairments in the processing of stimuli with both social and non-social content. Although ASD is defined by social-communication impairments and restricted and repetitive behaviours, the majority of cognitive theories of ASD posit a single underlying factor, which over development has secondary effects across domains. This is the first high-risk study to statistically differentiate theoretical models of the development of ASD in high-risk siblings using multiple risk factors. We examined the prediction of ASD outcome by attention to social and non-social stimuli: gaze following and attentional disengagement assessed at 13 months in low-risk controls and high-risk ASD infants (who were subsequently diagnosed with ASD at 3 years). When included in the same regression model, these 13-month measures independently predicted ASD outcome at 3 years of age. The data were best described by an additive model, suggesting that non-social attention, disengagement, and social attention as evidenced by gaze following, have a cumulative impact on ASD risk. These data argue against cognitive theories of ASD which propose that a single underlying factor has cascading effects across early development leading to an ASD outcome, and support multiple impairment models of ASD that are more consistent with recent genetic and neurobiological evidence.

Highlights

  • Autism spectrum disorder (ASD) is defined behaviourally by a triad of impairments with difficulties in both social and more general functioning (ICD-10; World Health Organization, 1993)

  • From 10 months of age, infants show an increase in looking time to a target when an adult turns to an object with their eyes open versus closed (Brooks & Meltzoff, 2002, 2005). This increase in infants’ looking behaviour is an indication that they understand the importance of open eyes as a cue to the other person ‘seeing’ the object. This is consistent with our previous paper in which we found reduced looking time to a gazed-at object in infants who later developed symptoms of ASD compared to low-risk and other high-risk infants (Bedford, Elsabbagh, Senju, Gliga, Pickles, Charman, Johnson & the BASIS Team, 2012)

  • Understanding how biological risk factors combine in the development of psychopathology is of etiological importance and may in the longer term have implications for prognosis

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Summary

Introduction

Autism spectrum disorder (ASD) is defined behaviourally by a triad of impairments with difficulties in both social (social and communication difficulties) and more general functioning (restricted and repetitive behaviours) (ICD-10; World Health Organization, 1993). The majority of cognitive theories of ASD propose a single initial impairment in either social orienting or social information processing (e.g. social orienting, Dawson, Meltzoff, Osterling, Rinaldi & Brown, 1998; theory of mind, Baron-Cohen, Leslie & Frith, 1985) or a more domain general impairment, such as in attentional control (e.g. disengagement, Landry & Bryson, 2004). Cascading and cumulative risk models have been proposed to describe the role of multiple factors in the development of ASD (Elsabbagh & Johnson, 2010). On the other hand, imply interactions between different factors during development, while the brain is still highly plastic, leading to a non-linear profile of mapping from

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