Abstract
Purpose Complete resection and adjuvant chemotherapy are recommended as the standard strategy for patients with stage I-IIA small cell lung cancer (SCLC). However, the role of additional postoperative radiotherapy (PORT) in treatment remains controversial. Methods Patients with stage I-IIA SCLC undergoing surgery and adjuvant chemotherapy were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Stage I-IIA, defined as T1-2N0M0, was recalculated according to the 8th AJCC TNM staging system. Propensity score matching (PSM) was conducted to identify the therapeutic impact of PORT. Univariate Cox hazards regression and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression were utilized for primary screening of prognostic variables for I-IIA SCLC disease. A nomogram to predict overall survival (OS) was constructed based on the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model, evaluated with area under the curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis, and validated with bootstrap resampling. Results Our results demonstrated that compared with no PORT, PORT significantly prolonged the median OS (8.58 vs. 5.17 years, HR = 0.61 [0.39–0.96], P = 0.032) and median cancer-specific survival (11.33 vs. 8.08, HR = 0.47 [0.27–0.82], P = 0.0086) after PSM. The 5-year OS rate was 61.56% vs. 46.60%. Five variables including age at diagnosis, gender, T stage, surgical type, and PORT were elucidated to impact on prognosis and included in a nomogram to predict 3-/5-/10-year OS probability. The area under the curve values were 0.72, 0.71, and 0.81, respectively. The nomogram also exhibited satisfactory accuracy and clinical usefulness. Conclusion PORT was verified to improve the OS of patients with T1-2N0M0 SCLC after surgery and chemotherapy. A prognostic nomogram was developed and validated for OS prediction for these patients.
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