Adaptive Cointegration Analysis and Modified RPCA With Continual Learning Ability for Monitoring Multimode Nonstationary Processes.

Abstract

This study investigates nonstationary process monitoring under frequently varying modes, where new modes are allowed to emerge constantly. However, in current multimode process monitoring methods, generally, data are required from all possible modes and mode identification is realized by prior knowledge for multimode nonstationary processes. In contrast, recursive methods update a monitoring model based on the successive data. However, they forget the learned knowledge gracefully and fail to track drastic variations. Aimed at nonstationary data in each mode, this article proposes an adaptive cointegration analysis (CA) to distinguish real faults from normal variations, which updates a model once a normal sample is encountered and adapts to the gradual change in the cointegration relationship. Then, a modified recursive principal component analysis (RPCA) with continual learning ability is developed to deal with the remaining dynamic information, wherein elastic weight consolidation is adopted to consolidate the previously learned knowledge when a new mode appears. The preserved information is beneficial for establishing a more accurate model than traditional RPCA and avoiding drastic performance degradation for future similar modes. In addition, novel statistics are proposed with prior knowledge and thresholds are calculated by recursive kernel density estimation to enhance the performance. An in-depth comparison with recursive CA and recursive slow feature analysis is conducted to emphasize the superiority, in terms of the algorithm accuracy, memory properties, and computational complexity. Compared with state-of-the-art recursive algorithms, the effectiveness of the proposed method is shown by studying on a numerical case and a practical industrial system.