Acute muscle wasting is associated with poor prognosis in older adults with severe community-acquired pneumonia.

Abstract

To investigate the impact of acute muscle wasting on 90-day mortality in older patients with severe pneumonia using ultrasound and chest computed tomography (CT). Quadriceps muscle layer thickness was measured via ultrasound on days 1, 7, and 14, and cross-sectional area of the erector spinae muscle was assessed using chest CT on days 1 and 14 in patients aged ≥ 65years old. The primary outcome was all-cause 90-day mortality. Receiver operating characteristic curves were conducted for muscle loss to predict 90-day mortality. Cox proportional hazard models and Kaplan-Meier survival curves were employed to evaluate the association between muscle loss and 90-day mortality. Sixty-two patients were enrolled with median age of 80.2years, 29 (46.8%) were men and 28 (45.2%) patients died. Muscle mass measured using ultrasound and CT decreased significantly from baseline to day 14 in the non-survivor group. Muscle loss assessed by ultrasound (with minimum and maximum pressure) and CT independently predicted all-cause 90-day mortality (adjusted hazard ratios = 1.497, 1.400 and 1.082; P < 0.001, P = 0.002, and P = 0.004; respectively), and cutoff values of muscle loss were 0.34cm, 0.11cm and 4.92cm2, correspondingly. A higher muscle loss had an increased risk of 90-day mortality. Acute muscle wasting assessed by ultrasound and chest CT persisted for 14days and was an independent predictor of adverse outcomes in older patients with severe pneumonia. A greater decline in muscle mass was associated with a higher 90-day mortality risk.