Accurately predicting dynamic modulus of asphalt mixtures in low-temperature regions using hybrid artificial intelligence model

Abstract

The applicability of the widely used Witczak model was evaluated for the first time regarding the asphalt mixtures produced in the East part of China. 16 asphalt mixtures by 2 binders and 8 aggregate gradations were designed and the dynamic modulus testing was performed under various loading temperatures and frequencies. The results obtained are similar to previous studies from different countries (areas): the dynamic modulus of the asphalt mixture in the low-temperature region is overestimated. So then, a hybrid artificial intelligence algorithm to replace the traditional Witcazak model is implemented in this paper to correct the overestimation, using the same input parameters in the Witczak model. A modified beetle antennae search (BAS) algorithm was proposed in this study to improve the searching efficiency in the random forest (RF) model. The calculation process showed fast convergence and higher efficiency. The comparative results between the predicted and actual dynamic modulus showed higher prediction accuracy at all the temperature and frequency ranges, overcoming the weaknesses of the traditional Witczak model. The variable importance results showed that G* and phase angle of the binders have the greatest impact on the dynamic modulus. Volumetric properties also show certain influence ability, but the change of the variable controlling aggregate gradation has a weak influence on the dynamic modulus.