Accounting for the Influence of the Superposition of Cycles of Economic Activity in the Transformation of Management Institutions in Modern Conditions

Abstract

The article deals with the problem of the influence of many factors and conditions on the processes of transformation of management institutions expected in the short term (2020s). The aim of the presented work is to study the influence of cyclic patterns of technical, technological, economic, social and political development of society on the processes of transformation of management institutions. As research methods, the work uses the tools of TESP-analysis of the impact on the transformation of management institutions of short-term business cycles by J. Kitchin, business cycles by K. Zhuglyar, construction cycles by S. Kuznets, technological cycles by N. Kondratiev, formational cycles by M. Evans, political cycles J. Modelsky, F. Braudel’s cycles of material civilization, J. Forrester’s resource cycles and E. Toffler’s cycles-epochs. As a result of the research, the inducing influence of the dynamics of the listed cycles on the processes of transformation of management institutions in society has been established. In particular, the influence of the accumulative effect of accumulation of changes within the short-term business cycles of J. Kitchin, business cycles of K. Zhuglyar, construction cycles of S. Kuznets on the technological cycles of N. Kondratiev and the accompanying processes of transformation of management institutions in society, which are multiples of each other in duration, has been demonstrated. In a similar way, the inducing influence on the processes of transformation of management institutions in a society of approximately equal in duration cycles of material civilization by F. Braudel, formation cycles of M. Evans and political cycles of J. Modelsky is shown. It is shown that from the point of view of the transformation of managerial institutions in society, it is necessary to take into account the influence of the totality of the cycles of economic activity under consideration as a superposition of waves of different duration and amplitude. It has been demonstrated that the cluster of influence of a number of considered waves of economic activity on the activities of management institutions will fall on the 2020s. Proposals are formulated to take into account the influence of the superposition of cycles of economic activity in the transformation of management institutions in modern conditions.