Abstract

The covered interest rate parity (CIP) is one of the most well-known theories in international finance. Based on arbitrage opportunities, CIP connects differences in interest rates between two countries and expected exchange rate changes. Empirical data shows that the CIP was consistently valid until the financial crisis, but it has broken down since then. While deviations in times of crisis are comprehensible, it is difficult to provide clear explanations for deviations since 2014. The authors therefore take a close look at the structure of financial markets and provide empirical evidence that one-sided hedging demand, regulatory costs for banks and changes in liquidity premia induced by quantitative easing programmes are able to explain deviations from the euro/US dollar basis.

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