Abstract

Introduction: Robust leptomeningeal collaterals protect brain from ischemia, yet the determinants of poor collaterals remains unclear. We aimed to identify predictors of poor collaterals in patients with large-vessel occlusive stroke. Methods: We analyzed 112 consecutive patients with middle cerebral artery ± internal carotid artery occlusion from 2012-2016 who presented within 6 hours after stroke symptoms onset. Collaterals on baseline CT-angiogram (poor collaterals ≤50% filling, good collaterals >50% filling) were reviewed blinded to clinical data. Pre-specified predictors of poor collaterals were analyzed with adjusted logistic regression models: including known predictors (age, vascular risk factors and metabolic derangements) and hypothesized predictors (low cardiac output, elevated inflammatory markers, and imaging evidence for chronic cerebral small-vessel disease and chronic steno-occlusive arterial disease). Results: The mean age was 67± 16 years, there were 48% women, 57% white, and median NIHSS was 15 (IQR 11-20). Poor collaterals at baseline were detected in 48%. Multivariable modeling identified that age (aOR 1.8 per 10 years; 95% CI 1.3-2.6; p<0.001), black race (aOR 2.1; 95% CI 1.0-4.5; p=0.043), high blood glucose level (aOR 2.4 per 100 mg/dl; 95% CI 1.1-5.1; p=0.029), and high WMH burden (aOR 6.1; 95%CI 1.8-20.4; p=0.003) were independent predictors of poor collaterals. Associations between low cardiac output, elevated inflammatory markers, intracranial atherosclerosis and poor collaterals did not reach statistical significance (Table). Conclusions: We have identified that advanced age, black race, hyperglycemia, and white matter hyperintensities are predictors of poor collaterals. Independent replication study at another institution is ongoing to further explore the hypothesized predictors.

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