Abstract

Background: Several noncontrast computed tomography (NCCT), single-phase computed tomography angiography (CTA), and multiphase CTA markers of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) expansion have been previously proposed. We derived and validated three scores for the prediction of hematoma expansion depending on the use of NCCT, single-phase CTA, or multiphase CTA markers of hematoma expansion. Methods: We prospective studied 276 consecutive patients with ICH within 6 hours from symptom onset. After deriving NCCT, single-phase CTA, and multiphase CTA scores in a 5-year period population (n=156), we validated them in a different 3-year period population (n=120). Outcome parameters included substantial hematoma expansion >6 mL or >33% at 24 hours (primary outcome) and poor outcome (mRS score >2) at 90 days. Results: The most accurate marker of hematoma expansion was spot sign in phase 1 of multiphase CTA (80.3%). The four independent predictors of substantial hematoma expansion included in the different scores were ultraearly hematoma growth (uHG) >5 mL/h, heterogeneous density, spot sign in phase 1 of multiphase CTA, and spot sign in any phase of multiphase CTA (Table). On each of the three scores, the proportion of patients that experienced substantial hematoma expansion increased with each point increase. C-index for both substantial hematoma expansion and poor outcome in the derivation and validation cohort was lower in NCCT expansion score than in single-phase CTA expansion score which, in turn, was lower than in multiphase CTA expansion score (Table). Conclusions: This study demonstrates the added prognostic value of more advanced CT modalities in acute ICH evaluation. Single-phase CTA score and, especially, multiphase CTA score, are more robust than NCCT score in the prediction of hematoma expansion and poor outcome. These scores may help to refine the selection of patients at risk of expansion and poorest outcomes in different decision-making scenarios.

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