Abstract

Abstract Background: The prognostic value of stromal tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) as a biomarker for triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) has been extensively demonstrated in patients (pts) receiving (neo)adjuvant systemic therapy. In addition, several small studies suggest that a subset of pts with early-stage TNBC and high TILs have excellent long-term outcomes, even in the absence of systemic therapy [1-3]. However, data on the absolute risk of TNBC recurrence according to TIL levels in the absence of systemic therapy are limited and critical to inform the design of future systemic therapy de-escalation clinical trials. Methods: We conducted an individual patient data pooled analysis of 12 international cohorts of pts with TNBC treated with locoregional therapy but no systemic therapy. TNBC was defined as tumors with estrogen and progesterone receptor of < 1% and HER2 negative (IHC 0, 1+ or IHC 2+ and FISH negative) per local evaluation. TILs were locally assessed in hematoxylin & eosin-stained slides according to the International Immuno-Oncology Biomarker Working Group guidelines (www.tilsinbreastcancer.org). We used the Kaplan-Meier method to assess survival outcomes according to prespecified TIL thresholds: 30% and 50%. Confidence intervals (CI) for survival probabilities were calculated using a percentile bootstrap method. The primary endpoint was invasive disease-free survival (iDFS, STEEP 2.0 definition). Key secondary outcomes included recurrence-free survival (RFS), distant disease-free survival (DDFS) and overall survival (OS). Results: 1,835 pts diagnosed with TNBC between 1982 and 2017 who did not receive systemic therapy were included. The median age at diagnosis was 56 (IQR 38-71). Menopausal status was known in 1,184 women, of whom 78% were post-menopausal. The median tumor size was 2.0 cm (IQR 1.2-2.6). Most pts (87%) had no axillary lymph node involvement (N0). Most tumors were invasive ductal carcinoma (74%) and grade 3 (70%). The median level of TILs was 15% (IQR 5-40). The median duration of follow-up was 30.4 years (95% CI 29.9, 31.1). A total of 950 (52%) iDFS, 828 (45%) RFS, 767 (42%) DDFS events, and 604 (33%) deaths were observed. In multivariable analyses, higher TILs were independently associated with improved iDFS, RFS, DDFS, and OS beyond clinicopathological factors (likelihood ratio p< 10e-6). Each 10% increment in stromal TILs was associated with an 8% (95% CI: 6-11), 10% (95% CI: 7-13), and 13% (95% CI: 10-15) reduction in the risk of experiencing an iDFS, RFS or DDFS event, and with a 12% (95% CI: 9-15) reduction in the risk of death. iDFS, RFS, DDFS and OS rates according to different TIL thresholds and nodal status are shown in the Table. Of note, the RFS estimates (which exclude second non-breast primaries and contralateral breast cancers) were consistently higher than the iDFS counterparts (which include both), consistent with a high rate of contralateral breast cancers and second primary tumors in this cohort. Notably, patients with node-negative—and especially stage I—TNBC with high TILs had excellent survival rates at 10-year follow-up. Conclusion: TILs are highly prognostic in pts with systemically untreated early-stage TNBC. Pts with pN0 (and especially stage I) TNBC with high TILs exhibited very favorable long-term outcomes even in the absence of systemic therapy. These data define the natural history of TIL-rich TNBC pts and are crucial to identifying the optimal patient population for future chemotherapy and immunotherapy de-escalation clinical trials.

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