Abstract
Breast arterial calcification (BAC) detected in mammograms is an emerging risk-enhancing factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). The predictive value of coronary artery calcification (CAC) for risk of ASCVD above and beyond traditional risk factors is well-established in women. However, there are few studies that have simultaneously evaluated BAC and CAC. The Multiethnic study of breast arterial calcium gradation and cardiovascular disease (MINERVA) cohort, a large, racially and ethnically diverse cohort of postmenopausal women aged 60-69 (n=5,059) was recruited in 2012-15 at Kaiser Permanente of Northern California (KPNC). BAC was assessed using a densitometry method, and presence of BAC was defined as a calcium mass score>0 mg. Searching the electronic health record up to 5 years after baseline, we identified 33 women (39% non-white) who underwent cardiac computed tomography (CT) because of medical indication. BAC was present in 33% (11/33) whereas CAC (Agastston score >0) was present in 61% (20/33). Nine (27%) were BAC and CAC -; 7 (21%) were BAC and CAC+; 4 (12%) were BAC+ and CAC -; and 13 (39%) were BAC - and CAC+. The correlation between log (BAC+1) and log (CAC+1) was 0.45 (p=0.02) in the entire sample (n=33) and was 0.68 (p=0.09) in the 7 women who were BAC and CAC+. The concordance, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV for BAC considering CAC as the gold standard were 0.48, 0.35, 0.69, 0.63 and 0.41, respectively. The unadjusted odds ratio for log (CAC+1)>0 as a function of Log (BAC+1) was 1.21 (95% CI, 0.27-5.38; p=0.80). Although our sample was small, the findings reflect real-world evidence and suggest that BAC and CAC are not entirely overlapping and thus may convey independent predictive information for ASCVD.
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