Abstract

Introduction: Coronary artery calcification (CAC) is prevalent among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and predicts the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Risk factors for the progression of CAC in patients with CKD have not been well studied. Hypothesis: We assessed the hypothesis that several established and novel CVD risk factors are associated with progression of CAC among patients with CKD. Methods: In a random subsample of 1,123 participants from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study, CAC was measured at baseline and the follow-up visit using electron beam computed tomography (CT) or multidetector CT. CAC progression was defined as an increase of Agatston score ≥100 units during follow-up. Multiple logistic regression and mixed-effects regression models were used to assess risk factors for progression of CAC. Results: Over an average of 3-year follow-up, 332 (29.6%) participants developed CAC progression. After adjusting for age, sex, race, clinical site, total cholesterol, HDL-cholesterol, systolic blood pressure, antihypertensive treatment, diabetes, and current smoking in the multivariable models, history of CVD (odds ratio [OR] 1.53, 95% CI 1.09-2.15, p=0.02), lipid-lowering treatment (OR 1.81, 95% CI 1.28-2.55, p<0.001), higher serum phosphate (OR 1.37, 95% CI 1.17-1.61, p<0.001), hemoglobin A1c (OR 1.32, 95% CI 1.10-1.58, p=0.002), and cystatin C (OR 1.24, 95% CI 1.06-1.45, p=0.007), and lower estimated-glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (OR 1.32, 95% CI 1.10-1.56, p=0.002) were associated with CAC progression. In addition, lower physical activity, lipid-lowering treatment, body-mass index, LDL-cholesterol, lower serum calcium, phosphate, total parathyroid hormone, fibrinogen, interleukin-6, tumor necrosis factor-α, fibroblast growth factor-23, lower eGFR, cystatin C, and 24-hour urine albumin were associated with square root transformed change in CAC score from baseline in multiple-adjusted models. These findings persisted after additional adjustment for baseline CAC score. Conclusions: In conclusion, these data suggest that reduced kidney function, calcium and phosphate metabolic disorders and inflammation, in addition to established CVD risk factors, might play a role in CAC progression among patients with CKD.

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