Abstract P3-14-05: Recurrence in Patients Diagnosed with Ductal Carcinoma in Situ: Predictors and Prognostic Significance

Abstract

Abstract Background: While patients diagnosed with ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) enjoy a favorable prognosis, recurrence after definitive management does occur in a subset of these patients. Factors influencing the development of recurrence, and the ultimate impact of this event on overall survival, remain poorly understood. We sought to determine clinicopathologic factors affecting recurrence and the prognostic role this plays in patients with DCIS. Methods: A retrospective chart review of 205 consecutive patients who presented to an academic breast center with DCIS from 2000 to 2003 was conducted under an IRB-approved protocol. Non-parametric statistical analyses comparing patients who recurred to those who did not were then performed using SPSS Statistical Software. Results: With a median follow-up of 8.5 years, 14 (6.8%) of the 205 patients who presented with DCIS between 2000–2003 had an invasive or in situ recurrence. The median age of all patients at the time of diagnosis of their initial DCIS was 55.5 years (range; 35.8–88.9). 51 (24.9%) had possible (albeit not definitive) microinvasion on their initial specimen. The majority were grade 2 (91; 44.4%), and 99 (48.3%) had comedo histology. The median size of DCIS on the initial excision was 10 mm (range; 0.1–80). All patients underwent definitive surgery to negative margins. The mean time to recurrence was 4.7 years (range; 1.1–10.6). On bivariate analysis, histologic grade of DCIS was the only factor that was significantly correlated with the risk of recurrence. Patients with grade 3 DCIS were more likely to develop a recurrence compared to those with grade 2 or grade 1 DCIS (12.3% vs. 3.3% vs. 0%, respectively, p = 0.032). Patient age, race, extent of DCIS, and histologic subtype were not associated with recurrence (see table below). 5-year actuarial overall survival was no different between those who developed a recurrence and those who did not (92.9 vs. 95.7%, p = 0.171). Conclusions: Approximately 7% of patients diagnosed with DCIS will recur within 10 years. Patients with high grade DCIS are more likely to recur, and this seems to be more predictive of recurrence than other clinicopathologic markers. Irrespective of whether or not patients with DCIS recur, overall survival is not significantly different between these two groups, and patients with DCIS enjoy an outstanding prognosis regardless. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2012;72(24 Suppl):Abstract nr P3-14-05.