Abstract

Background: Growing evidence has recognized the clinical implications of lipid variability in relation to cardiovascular disease and adverse outcomes. However, data on the association between lipid variability and the risk of incident peripheral artery disease (PAD) remain scarce compared to other manifestations like coronary artery disease and stroke. Methods: We conducted a study using data from the Chang Gung Research Database in Taiwan. A total of 93,948 patients diagnosed with hyperlipidemia between 2007 and 2013 who had at least one lipid measurement annually for four consecutive years were included in this study. Lipid levels, including total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and triglycerides, as well as their visit-to-visit variability (average real variability, ARV), were calculated over the four-year period. Patients were followed up until December 31, 2019, for the development of incident PAD. Results: During a mean follow-up of 5.9 years, 2,735 (2.5%) of the patients had incident PAD. The mean levels of the four lipids were all significantly associated with the development of incident PAD. However, only HDL-C ARV showed a significant association with an increased risk of incident PAD, independent of traditional risk factors for atherosclerosis and lipid-lowering therapy (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.13; 95% confidence interval: 1.004-1.27 for the comparison between patients in the highest and lowest quartile of HDL-C ARV; P for trend = 0.002). A sensitivity analysis using the variability independent of the mean as the HDL-C variability index confirmed this association. The study result was consistent across all subgroups analyzed. Conclusions: In this multi-institutional database analysis, visit-to-visit variability in HDL-C was significantly associated with the risk of incident PAD, independent of traditional risk factors for atherosclerosis, mean lipid levels, and the use of lipid-lowering therapy. Absolute levels of total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and triglycerides were all significantly associated with the development of incident PAD. Visit-to-visit variability in HDL-C was significantly linked to the risk of incident PAD, irrespective of traditional atherosclerosis risk factors, mean lipid levels, and lipid-lowering therapy use.

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